Putrid-Anteater
0xb4c34d19138c6cc1a7913063b79883e3fa14d974
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$531.25
Total PnL
$-0.74
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
456 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$349.99
$121.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
456 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$106.02
$-121.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.88
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.68
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on June 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.37
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.15
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C or higher on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.08
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?$9.70Jun 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C or higher on June 23?$9.10Jun 22, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 23?$9.90Jun 22, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on June 23?$9.60Jun 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 23?$9.20Jun 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?$9.20Jun 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 23?$9.40Jun 22, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 23?$9.30Jun 22, 09:26 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$80.00Jun 22, 09:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on June 17?$9.41Jun 18, 05:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on June 17?$9.71Jun 17, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?$9.12Jun 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 17?$9.92Jun 17, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 16?$9.71Jun 17, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $9.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.