Sour-Porpoise
0xb4c54b4639f3a9ca058d85e79a6d97a7d3e4295c
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-6.95
Win rate
2%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?
63 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?
44 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?
42 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?
40 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET
37 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 5AM ET
33 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 4AM ET
32 shares @ 82.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.36
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 7AM ET
31 shares @ 82.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET
28 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET
28 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?$4.93Aug 18, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18?$4.55Aug 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$5.48Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?$5.20Aug 17, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 17?$5.33Aug 17, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?$6.37Aug 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?$2.04Aug 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?$2.32Aug 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 17?$4.72Aug 17, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?$5.28Aug 17, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 16?$7.87Aug 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 16?$0.59Aug 16, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 16?$4.76Aug 16, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 15?$12.37Aug 15, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 15?$5.15Aug 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 15?$7.03Aug 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 15?$6.71Aug 15, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 15?$2.84Aug 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 15?$4.98Aug 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?$7.37Aug 14, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
50 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.