Lumpy-Aglet
0xb4d34fa99114d11a2fe0a2edbcc5c37ff294d937
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.49
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.60
$0.60
- NO
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.44
$1.24
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Obama arrested in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
AfD banned in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
10 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$4.00Jul 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAfD banned in 2025?$1.00Jul 24, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama arrested in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$1.00Jul 24, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$2.00Jul 24, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Jul 24, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$2.20Jul 24, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?$3.37Jul 24, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$5.49Jul 24, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$6.49Jul 24, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$5.00Apr 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$5.00Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$5.00Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.26Apr 19, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$11.94Apr 19, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$4.19Feb 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$4.00Feb 18, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$2.00Feb 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Feb 18, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$8.00Feb 18, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.