Careful-Revitalization
0xb4d68b0f4b0688f8e385b39436b19dd98ba4c37f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.14
Total PnL
$-2.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.18
$0.18
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$3.08
$1.08
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.44
$1.44
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner$2.00Oct 25, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Oct 25, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5$4.65Oct 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Oct 23, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5$2.00Oct 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Oct 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.