Fatal-Diarist
0xb4d70207291ac09b8b06bad01ba123bbe2fb48b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-274.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
180 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-93.61
- YES
Will FaZe win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
57 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel not strike Yemen by 15 ET?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
22 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.61Oct 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Oct 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$7.50Oct 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Oct 10, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$4.94Oct 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$5.00Oct 4, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Turkey by December 31?$4.98Oct 1, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$0.00Sep 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$3.00Sep 26, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$5.00Sep 26, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$5.00Sep 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$5.00Sep 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: September$17.46Sep 26, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$41.00Sep 24, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?$5.45Sep 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$5.06Sep 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.55Sep 23, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$0.00Sep 23, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$0.00Sep 23, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".