Quixotic-Regime
0xb4d8eed9d4eb83171c36aaa9d927d0953e2c7d72
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?
92 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-16.60
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 24 above $430?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 24?
13 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 24?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 25?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 21?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?$30.00May 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?$29.79Apr 6, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$11.00Jan 2, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMDAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 12?$1.43Dec 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 12?$4.38Dec 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 12?$0.72Dec 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 12?$0.43Dec 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 5?$5.80Dec 5, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?$0.00Dec 5, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?$70.00Dec 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?$69.79Dec 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 5?$5.10Dec 4, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 3?$44.54Dec 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 3?$44.09Dec 3, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 25?$20.41Nov 26, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?$50.05Nov 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?$50.00Nov 25, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 25?$20.00Nov 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 25?$0.50Nov 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 25?$57.94Nov 25, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $26.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".