Physical-Shell
0xb4df09929fedde5e61f0cf76d8fb97c5cf5ec866
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-374.87
Realised
$-21.77
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
239 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
144 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?
112 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
67 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?
52 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Mar 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$3.00Mar 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.32Mar 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?$20.00Feb 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$85.00Jan 29, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.00Jan 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$3.00Jan 15, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?$0.00Nov 26, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?$3.00Nov 24, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)$0.31Nov 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$2.00Nov 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)$134.68Nov 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)$132.00Nov 20, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.00Nov 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$5.00Nov 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$132.67Nov 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.00Nov 16, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$6.06Nov 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$2.00Nov 10, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".