Valuable-Silk
0xb4e06e3a1f7c365b58b69d7200dec31e72719563
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$237.86
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?
6911 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-260.36
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
5540 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-143.39
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?
4078 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-155.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?
865 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-109.98
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
850 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-27.22
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
544 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-46.14
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?
455 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?
405 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-26.30
- DOWN
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 23?
370 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 23?
341 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-44.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$13.18May 6, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.26Apr 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.59Apr 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$14.46Apr 27, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.20Apr 27, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$7.50Apr 27, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.80Apr 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.80Apr 27, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$5.39Apr 20, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$0.17Apr 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$6.49Apr 20, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$6.86Apr 20, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.90Apr 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 20, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?$21.05Apr 15, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?$21.60Apr 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?$19.98Apr 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?$18.60Apr 15, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".