Serene-Commodity
0xb4e07d8cfc98078f483d78fcb0696a16f3fb2938
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$120.09
Total PnL
$-81.93
Realised
$-1.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$120.09
$0.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
743 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?
709 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
675 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?
668 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22?
622 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?
613 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 22?
613 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?
602 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$119.97May 22, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$119.96May 22, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$119.51May 20, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$15.17May 20, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$104.37May 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$104.28May 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$9.06May 19, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$112.87May 19, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$113.00May 19, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$113.46May 19, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$113.36May 18, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$113.11May 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$113.01May 17, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$113.25May 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$113.15May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$112.85May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$113.02May 16, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 11 2026?$113.29May 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 11 2026?$113.18May 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$113.17May 15, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $111.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".