0xb4e648f84acbd86cf276d08de09c785e6ae21934
0xb4e648f84acbd86cf276d08de09c785e6ae21934
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$31.90
Total PnL
$18.67
Realised
$16.68
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
11 shares @ 48.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$11.10
$5.71
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$10.60
$0.64
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$10.20
$5.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
4 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.80Feb 21, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$8.64Feb 20, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.28Feb 20, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$6.67Feb 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$9.96Feb 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$17.60Feb 19, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$8.67Feb 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$0.44Feb 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$0.89Feb 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$15.00Feb 19, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.12Feb 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$6.40Feb 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.12Feb 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.04Feb 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.96Feb 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.44Feb 18, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$0.00Feb 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.42Feb 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.45Feb 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$9.10Feb 13, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.