Apprehensive-Constitution
0xb4e7d1ee53f4a854bd5da81fd8100cdf507cdf79
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?
1390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.39
- NO
Will US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will North Carolina be the tipping point state?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?
230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?$1.39Jan 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024?$1.10Jan 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 6, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$1.06Jan 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$1.00Dec 30, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Carolina be the tipping point state?$0.25Dec 14, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?$0.21Dec 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.25Dec 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?$0.25Dec 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$0.23Dec 11, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".