Zany-Malice
0xb4edf10ed5b47e9414ed4e130845201170469a97
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$72.76
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
427 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.94
$0.00
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5708 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.98
$-111.57
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2337 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.84
$-33.88
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
2220 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-999.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
1797 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1533 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-555.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
1117 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-592.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
658 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
581 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$48.61Jun 22, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00May 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$105.46May 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$101.75May 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$25.47May 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.40May 14, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.17May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.38May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.36May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.91May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.34May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.70May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.88May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.51May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.16May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.49May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.51May 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.17May 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.76May 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.70May 14, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.