Failing-Margarine
0xb4ee8949fb53e16320826fbe222c873328c90fad
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$39.33
Total PnL
$-84.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.01
$1.01
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.88
$-1.13
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
114 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
22 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.34Jun 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$51.96Jun 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.19Jun 4, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.19Jun 4, 09:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.