Imperfect-Molar
0xb4f36d09fa59cb4d3e35f5f39a0d12d54cfdafd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$34.79
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?
1619 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11?
918 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12?
834 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?
788 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12?
689 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 16?
580 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?
539 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 18?
483 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$6.76Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$3.91Jun 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 19?$1.21Jun 18, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?$44.12Jun 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?$34.54Jun 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$34.19Jun 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$33.93Jun 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$6.87Jun 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$27.04Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$104.44Jun 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$83.83Jun 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$51.97Jun 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$43.65Jun 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$0.78Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$3.58Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$4.75Jun 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$11.61Jun 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$101.33Jun 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$93.42Jun 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?$41.70Jun 17, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $28.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.