0xb4fa0a9121b74a45093fea909b612f8b65fdaa29
0xb4fa0a9121b74a45093fea909b612f8b65fdaa29
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump and Biden debate before Election?$0.00Jul 4, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRishi Sunak out before next UK election?$66.00Jun 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$66.00Jun 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRishi Sunak out before next UK election?$45.00Jun 21, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIs $DJT real?$45.00Jun 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs $DJT real?$38.28Jun 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2024 meeting?$0.00Jun 18, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 June meeting?$33.33Jun 12, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Election: Modi reelected?$0.00Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NDA win more than 400 seats?$0.00Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NDA win 300-325 seats?$0.00Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NDA win 351-375 seats?$0.00Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NDA win 326-350 seats?$0.00Jun 5, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the NDA win more than 400 seats?$4.95Jun 4, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMMrBeast biggest YouTube channel by June 30?$0.00Jun 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NDA win more than 400 seats?$37.00Jun 1, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$63.00May 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 30, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden debate before Election?$208.95May 30, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Election: Modi reelected?$5.00May 24, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $145.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 23:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.