Cumbersome-Crew
0xb4fcfc4989e0d534a0087065d9e29e739e2d9665
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?
469 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 12?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
182 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 15?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 14?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?
137 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?$2.00Nov 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?$2.00Nov 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$4.00Nov 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$5.00Nov 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 15?$5.00Nov 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 14?$13.68Nov 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 11?$1.00Nov 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 14?$3.00Nov 13, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 14?$3.00Nov 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on November 14?$2.50Nov 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on November 13?$32.64Nov 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$3.00Nov 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on November 13?$5.00Nov 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 13?$28.11Nov 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 12?$3.00Nov 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?$3.00Nov 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 13?$9.70Nov 12, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".