0xb4fd836619f5d9f7d370c979c53e8c6b4ba5d2b9
0xb4fd836619f5d9f7d370c979c53e8c6b4ba5d2b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-156.80
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
943 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-48.20
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
888 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-25.41
- YES
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
282 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
252 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.83
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
247 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
79 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
32 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$3.77Mar 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.28Mar 3, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.30Mar 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.00Mar 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$18.55Mar 2, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$3.09Mar 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.26Mar 2, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.24Mar 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.06Mar 2, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.34Mar 2, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.30Mar 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDuke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack$2.06Mar 2, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?$3.39Feb 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?$1.57Feb 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$4.81Feb 7, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.83Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $60M one day after launch?$2.45Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.32Feb 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.53Feb 7, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".