Trusting-Ballpark
0xb504e831f54fb75771d369e96f2237132d81803c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.08
Total PnL
$-352.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.63
$0.13
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.23
$0.01
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$1.14
$-0.26
- YES
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.08
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET
400 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-351.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.07May 22, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.22May 22, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.51May 22, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.14May 22, 02:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.37Apr 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ET$999.83Apr 10, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$1.5KApr 10, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7AM ET$2.7KApr 10, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.10Apr 10, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ET$499.50Apr 10, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ET$299.10Apr 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10AM ET$199.00Apr 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET$186.00Apr 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET$99.15Apr 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET$53.95Apr 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET$12.89Apr 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$11.65Apr 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$60.60Apr 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$198.00Apr 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET$196.00Apr 10, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $115.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".