Hard-To-Find-Margarine
0xb507354dab142ccf34f66ce67d3c0c74737c1fe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$44.01
Total PnL
$15.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- MATTHEWS
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$20.00
$10.00
- VAN
UFC 317: Royval vs. Van
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$10.00
$4.90
- YES
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$2.75
- NO
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60%?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60–69%?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-27?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-27?$2.50Aug 25, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?$2.50Aug 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60%?$2.00Aug 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60–69%?$1.00Aug 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?$1.00Aug 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2.25Jul 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$2.50Jul 8, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani$10.00Jul 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 317: Royval vs. Van$5.10Jun 25, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in April?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jets make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Panthers make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$2.00Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$2.01Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$2.01Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haas have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?$3.01Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sauber have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?$3.01Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Martin have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?$3.01Jun 15, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 25, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".