Lumpy-Timer
0xb507a26c643e8ddf3d8b1bfabc96deeab73049dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
280 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on November 13?
279 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.47
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 13?
277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?
277 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 25?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 16?
274 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.76
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 10?
273 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3AM ET
271 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$61.81May 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$60.51May 25, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$70.88May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.14May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$68.83May 18, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?$25.63May 7, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$40.86May 1, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 4?$0.00Apr 21, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?$1.44Apr 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?$2.64Apr 14, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 16?$0.00Apr 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$0.42Apr 12, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$0.07Apr 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$39.23Apr 11, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$50.07Apr 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 1?$2.44Mar 31, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 17?$0.00Mar 31, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena be the top performing crypto for the week of March 23?$2.15Mar 29, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$0.00Mar 29, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$0.07Mar 28, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".