Untidy-Ligand
0xb52000641bfd037692fd501b76a38ffa6e5c3087
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-746.29
Realised
$-20.26
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
54 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
38 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
28 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
28 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
21 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
20 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
20 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
17 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?$2.50Jul 3, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?$1.77Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?$2.84Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?$1.92Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?$2.36Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?$1.27Jul 2, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?$1.03Jul 1, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?$1.18Jul 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?$1.33Jul 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?$1.13Jul 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4.85Jun 28, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.00Jun 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$4.85Jun 28, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$47.63Jun 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.00Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.14Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.10Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.57Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.57Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.35Jun 18, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.