Agitated-Examination
0xb52306b7b6607209eb4b34c5470b6d00c0aa4b8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$93.16
Total PnL
$11.10
Realised
$34.97
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
169 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$71.63
$5.90
- YES
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Feb 7, 2027$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
69 shares @ 9.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Feb 7, 2027$6.55
$0.05
- YES
Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
14 shares @ 15.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2027$4.48
$2.38
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 16-22?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$6.79Aug 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$72.54Aug 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$10.00Aug 11, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.10Aug 11, 01:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.09Aug 11, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.08Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$6.18Aug 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$42.74Aug 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$19.14Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$274.65Aug 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$82.50Aug 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$192.85Aug 10, 15:07 UTC
- REWARD$2.23Aug 9, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.56Aug 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$131.52Aug 7, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$265.00Aug 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$276.20Aug 7, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET$5.72Aug 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET$5.28Aug 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET$5.72Aug 2, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $61.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.