Pricey-Expert
0xb5239700ad6ce62a5643033d978871d36d4b7138
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$61.08
Total PnL
$-897.88
Realised
$41.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
62 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$61.08
$1.08
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Suns vs. Trail Blazers
600 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?
546 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.78
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech?
534 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-28.03
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
500 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-253.60
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
450 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.75
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
250 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-131.50
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
180 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $66.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.