Gracious-Moat
0xb524830adc5decdecef42c2173a132dfd0db272f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$11.80
Total PnL
$-0.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.32
$0.12
- NO
"Make Greenland Great Again Act" passes the House before March?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.13
$0.02
- YES
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump post less than 60 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY"Make Greenland Great Again Act" passes the House before March?$1.11Feb 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?$1.20Feb 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?$1.00Feb 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?$1.00Feb 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post less than 60 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?$1.00Feb 16, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Jazz$0.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Citizens' Party in Liechtenstein win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?$0.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $190 on February 14?$0.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMFA Cup: Plymouth Argyle vs. Liverpool (To Advance)$0.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?$1.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence released proving JFK was assassinated by a foreign government by Feb 10? $1.00Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$1.02Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Thunder$1.05Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Jazz$1.06Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMTravis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?$1.07Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Lakers$1.08Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.09Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Cavaliers$1.15Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?$1.20Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".