Frequent-Housing
0xb527a4db04c36f2f358f1475189b5e0387c23b52
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-221.37
Win rate
46%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?
375 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-43.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
374 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.54
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?
330 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-82.63
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
315 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-131.28
- YES
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?
281 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.54
- YES
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?
278 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.33
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?
258 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-109.05
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
253 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.99
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in June?
252 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-119.41
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?
250 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.72
Recent activity
- REWARD$107.79Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.07Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$29.39Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$24.48Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?$5.61Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$1.89Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$0.05Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.54Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in June?$1.05Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in June?$53.00Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June?$306.00Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$239.06Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$150.09Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?$9.00Jun 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?$87.21Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?$72.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?$155.57Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in June?$25.20Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$31.03Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June?$58.26Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
78 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $14.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.