This-Toenail
0xb529226b8bd4b213e3d92d6456cdfb281c0f17cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.02
Total PnL
$-5.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$4.62
$0.07
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
ECB rate cut in 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.06Nov 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$3.00Nov 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 6?$1.00Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.03Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.01Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.01Nov 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$6.24Nov 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Nov 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.00Nov 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 6?$1.00Nov 6, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 6, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.00Nov 6, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.01Nov 5, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.