Innocent-Cartload
0xb53a722584ff53dc90c560122d94815e1b6ab0da
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$27.51
Total PnL
$0.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on June 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Trump Family buys stake in Binance before July?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00May 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.00May 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?$1.00May 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.00May 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00May 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $5.75-6.00 in May?$1.00May 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00May 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on June 30?$1.00May 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00May 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before June?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win less than 20% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?$1.00May 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Family buys stake in Binance before July?$1.00May 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?$1.00May 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$1.00May 29, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".