Grouchy-Giraffe
0xb56581078098e1a60da25e787d95d8a19d2bc221
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$30.85
Total PnL
$-38.17
Realised
$-1.97
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?
36 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
25 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.86
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on May 20?
7 shares @ 5.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.84
$0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?
36 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.78
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.81May 20, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$5.18May 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$5.17May 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.17May 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5.13May 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$5.09May 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.11May 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.16May 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?$0.13May 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?$0.36May 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?$0.63May 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on May 20?$1.06May 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$0.29May 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?$0.58May 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$0.30May 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?$1.23May 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?$0.32May 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$1.44May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 20?$0.11May 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?$0.64May 19, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 01:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".