Bossy-Temperature
0xb5738a0d3620f857d7204ff0ab23625166f5a0f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-584.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
258 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-218.19
- NO
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
181 shares @ 91.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
167 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
128 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-51.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$280.72Oct 30, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$269.36Oct 30, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$81.10Oct 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$150.00Oct 11, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuccessful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?$100.00Oct 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$200.00Oct 11, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$508.78Oct 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$100.00Oct 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$36.93Oct 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?$85.39Oct 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$87.60Oct 6, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$50.00Oct 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuccessful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?$65.00Oct 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$50.00Oct 6, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?$50.00Oct 6, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?$50.00Oct 6, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$103.60Oct 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$500.00Sep 30, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?$207.54Sep 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?$157.18Sep 29, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $146.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.