Lone-Ceremony
0xb5756c593d0ff926507893fccd0813bc649d2090
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- RUCHAŁA
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchała
1175 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-358.04
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1135 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?
1111 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1003 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Ethereum above $3,000 on July 18?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- MARISCAL
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
665 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-320.00
- CEJUDO
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)
500 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-155.00
- MCCONICO
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
444 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-39.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on July 18?
421 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-151.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$50.00Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$250.00Apr 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$39.40Apr 12, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$30.00Feb 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$30.13Feb 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$17.00Feb 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$25.00Feb 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.50Feb 15, 18:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.22Feb 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$8.36Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$15.96Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$37.00Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$6.61Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.93Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.45Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$3.68Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.1KFeb 7, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.45Feb 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)$4.50Feb 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)$208.70Feb 7, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $90.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".