Unhappy-Maker-Importance
0xb575bb9d4e9b6f0b4a413b0739046e9c17a0bea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$225.40
Total PnL
$-989.23
Realised
$-153.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50090 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$225.40
$-207.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 15?
24364 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
14926 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 15?
14702 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?
8545 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?
5940 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?
4608 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 15?
1157 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.89
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1062 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-207.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5$60.17Jul 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5$20.71Jul 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$80.16Jul 19, 18:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106.07Jul 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$57.61Jul 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$149.92Jul 15, 14:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$109.91Jul 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$107.91Jul 14, 23:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $103.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.