0xb578c4c99a461967fa4da626acf4f3d226856c7d
0xb578c4c99a461967fa4da626acf4f3d226856c7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.8K
Realised
$-200.2K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Timberwolves by more than 5.5 points in their November 8th matchup?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2021$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET?
1175 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2021$0.00
$-587.33
- NO
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Pelicans by more than 8.5 points in their November 8th matchup?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2021$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
NBA: Will the Kings beat the Pistons by more than 4.5 points in their November 15th matchup?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2021$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
NFL: Will the Colts beat the Jaguars by more than 10.5 points in their November 14th matchup?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2021$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.