Dim-Chairlift
0xb583be26e916c3e91358cde59555c76f8288e223
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.47
Total PnL
$-744.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.47
$-4.53
- NO
Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 50+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
752 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
750 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
366 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
253 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
233 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$15.15Jul 21, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.23Jul 21, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$12.82Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.21Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.23Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.26Jul 18, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.19Jul 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$10.00Jul 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.05Jul 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.27Jul 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.07Jul 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.07Jul 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.28Jul 13, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.42Jul 13, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.