Outrageous-Policy
0xb58500ba4f64d2babecf09879d3b781a4f26a137
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$58.46
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
58 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.46
$14.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 28?
1580 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-410.80
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
1237 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-403.08
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
1237 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-250.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 3?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
400 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?
320 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?
320 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
- YES
Will the New York Giants win the NFC East?
320 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$126.00Jan 2, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?$320.00Jan 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 28?$410.80Nov 25, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.2KNov 13, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$0.35Nov 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?$0.16Nov 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?$0.16Nov 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?$0.23Nov 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?$0.41Nov 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$0.10Nov 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.68Nov 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$14.79Nov 12, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$1.52Nov 12, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$300.00Nov 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.60Nov 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.60Nov 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.29Nov 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$12.37Nov 10, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$37.00Nov 10, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$52.77Nov 10, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.