Standard-Statin
0xb58a60a7d72b5d0f3a710e5a998ea5488c95ca54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-473.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gono Odhikar Parishad win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Perú Libre (PL) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$12.70Jul 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$11.09Jul 9, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$17.10Jul 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$15.93Jun 30, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$15.66Jun 30, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$13.07Jun 29, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$13.32Jun 29, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$10.06Jun 27, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$10.00Jun 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$9.51Jun 23, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?$9.57May 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?$9.02May 10, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLShymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$12.32Apr 22, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$1.00Apr 22, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$1.00Apr 22, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perú Libre (PL) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$1.00Apr 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYShymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$7.00Apr 22, 07:33 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Mar 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.06Mar 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.17Mar 17, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $44.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.