Scientific-Expectation
0xb58f2ba871e42e68ed1708018f1ee1c5275f5c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$75.84
Total PnL
$-269.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- ARIAS/INGILDSEN
Lyon (Doubles): Kestelboim/Reyes vs Arias/Ingildsen
22 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$21.50
$10.75
- KIWOOM HEROES
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears
21 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$21.20
$10.81
- KT WIZ
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$17.20
$8.60
- MACMILLAN
Zuffa Boxing 7: MacMillan vs. Rivers (Middleweight, Prelims)
29 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.25
$0.00
- YES
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.69
$-10.31
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
67 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-34.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
63 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-32.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-30.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
58 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMKBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions$28.10Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWTT - Women's Singles: Hina Hayata vs Sakura Yokoi$19.70Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTT - Women's Singles: Hina Hayata vs Sakura Yokoi$9.85Jun 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions$14.05Jun 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLyon (Doubles): Kestelboim/Reyes vs Arias/Ingildsen$10.75Jun 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears$10.55Jun 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 7: MacMillan vs. Rivers (Middleweight, Prelims)$14.25Jun 3, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMGranada vs. La Laguna Tenerife$12.40Jun 3, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMTelekom Baskets Bonn vs. Wuerzburg$14.60Jun 3, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem (Doubles): Sutjiadi/Zvonareva vs Chong/Kempen$15.20Jun 3, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ida get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?$25.00Jun 3, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz$8.73Jun 1, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP (Doubles): Bhambri/Venus vs Bolelli/Vavassori$12.35May 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Colorado Eagles$13.85May 27, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCenturion (Doubles): Winter/Zahraj vs Hurrion/Hussey$5.80May 25, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem (Doubles): Sutjiadi/Zvonareva vs Chong/Kempen$7.71May 22, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGranada vs. La Laguna Tenerife$6.29May 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan$12.05May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTelekom Baskets Bonn vs. Wuerzburg$7.30May 15, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMFenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas$16.20May 15, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $12.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.