Pretty-Wall
0xb59a84837570f017e715cb2a159f475a1f4f7f7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.40
Total PnL
$-54.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
28 shares @ 12.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-1.10
- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
826 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?
93 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
26 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
24 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$11.19Apr 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$13.86Mar 31, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$78.40Mar 31, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$85.46Mar 31, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$57.22Mar 25, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$57.22Mar 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.82Mar 20, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$5.00Mar 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.00Mar 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.50Mar 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$2.50Mar 20, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$5.00Mar 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$3.00Mar 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$3.25Mar 20, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?$3.00Mar 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?$5.00Mar 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?$3.00Mar 20, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.50Mar 20, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$2.00Mar 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.