Chubby-State
0xb5a4fa5b1a4bc3f654f06984dbf3f418503d174b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
156 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
78 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-53.87
- NO
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
6 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$54.48Mar 8, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$54.49Mar 8, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$27.37Mar 8, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$27.36Mar 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$22.20Mar 8, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$22.21Mar 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$14.76Mar 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.51Mar 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.45Mar 8, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$3.77Mar 8, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Keir Starmer in December?$5.77Mar 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Dec 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.00Dec 9, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Keir Starmer in December?$3.00Dec 9, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.00Dec 9, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$3.85Dec 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$5.66Dec 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$2.00Sep 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.00Sep 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$3.00Sep 16, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".