Blissful-Manicure
0xb5a81dac015dc3c336921072df4b9b2a9b50bbd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.9K
Realised
$-6.6K
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
10645 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
10221 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
9684 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
8853 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
6956 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
6956 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
6727 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
6429 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
5920 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
5724 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.16Aug 18, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$9.62Aug 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.17Aug 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.17Aug 18, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$20.83Aug 18, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.36Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.06Aug 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.09Aug 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.10Aug 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.08Aug 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$72.60Aug 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.07Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$37.25Aug 18, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$36.73Aug 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$9.49Aug 18, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $31.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.