Shimmering-Mixture
0xb5aec62aaf2b4aa764b3bce4625056ab9479b4e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.37
Realised
$2.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 18?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?
14 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 17?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 17?
9 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?
8 shares @ 92.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
8 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 10?$7.80Jul 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?$7.97Jul 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?$7.71Jul 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 10?$8.09Jul 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?$7.50Jul 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?$7.52Jul 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 10?$7.51Jul 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 10?$7.72Jul 10, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 10?$7.72Jul 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 10?$7.53Jul 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 10?$7.50Jul 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?$7.71Jul 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 9?$7.95Jul 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 9?$7.74Jul 9, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 9?$7.87Jul 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 9?$7.34Jul 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 10?$7.50Jul 9, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?$7.51Jul 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?$7.74Jul 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?$7.51Jul 8, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.