Defensive-Pillar
0xb5b0de661b2b8327aa8b862922ae7572b78a6338
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.97
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
172 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
18 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.85Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.71Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.76Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.12Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$15.30Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.05Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.37Feb 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.79Feb 13, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.00Feb 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".