Half-Alias
0xb5b4397c90bdcf5bfcb5acc6d70f9457d6e49846
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$70.56
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$2.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
141120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$70.56
$-211.68
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
178020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-302.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
1202 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-518.84
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
286 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
42 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
41 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1PM ET
38 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$296.32Jun 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.05May 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.51May 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$6.09May 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.82May 8, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.76May 2, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.43May 2, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.28May 2, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.15May 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.38May 2, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.00May 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.17May 2, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.04May 2, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$9.09May 2, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00May 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.16May 2, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$6.13May 2, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$3.85May 2, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?$10.05May 1, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?$10.05May 1, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $15.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.