Magnificent-Sculpture
0xb5bdb5b1c9a3c5179273f5a7e4582c1d7f747e75
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$10.99
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-948.46
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.50
$-84.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$2.70
$1.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
3 shares @ 10.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
54293 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-892.57
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
22446 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
21111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
21111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
6680 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-257.29
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
5412 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-58.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$790.42May 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 22, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.40May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$103.96May 18, 08:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$618.90May 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$156.43May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$457.67May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$601.74May 15, 07:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$50.00May 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00May 12, 11:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $196.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.