Outlying-Cenotaph
0xb5c42af12126e530ce6db5de00577088b38fa20f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$195.87
Total PnL
$-127.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
131 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$129.55
$-0.46
- NO
Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$11.01
$0.01
- NO
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$8.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the California redistricting referendum not pass?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?
800 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-128.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".