Muffled-Bacterium
0xb5cb06216dd1119ca198029b0a5aebdb629e7e97
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-337.52
Realised
$-108.28
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?
225 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?
157 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.39
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 19?
104 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-27.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?
82 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
77 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-74.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 9?
59 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 21?
55 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.82
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on April 16?
53 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.73
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 17?
48 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.63
- SAN FRANCISCO DONS
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
47 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?$42.43Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?$39.88Jul 20, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 2?$37.35Jul 2, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 2?$35.63Jul 1, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$38.51May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$37.16May 26, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?$2.91May 21, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$37.93May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$18.60May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$17.78May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$2.64May 16, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?$1.92May 11, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$37.35May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$36.08May 9, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 6?$44.20Apr 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 21?$3.55Apr 21, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 23?$0.00Apr 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 19?$2.36Apr 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 16?$2.45Apr 16, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 25?$0.00Apr 13, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $20.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.