0xb5e4c64f5f7ec5da7c3810f0a062b53fdc31d007
0xb5e4c64f5f7ec5da7c3810f0a062b53fdc31d007
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?
935 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-467.50
- NO
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
795 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-532.65
- MUMBAI
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Mumbai Indians
425 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-259.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?
320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?
60 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.50
- FLETCHER
Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán Loughran
35 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.65
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 10?$1.0KMay 10, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lazio beat Juventus? $3.05May 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio beat Juventus? $3.05May 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$532.65May 9, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 10?$520.00May 9, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$55.00May 9, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?$1.0KMay 9, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?$2.60May 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?$2.60May 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?$26.00May 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?$30.75May 7, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$3.30May 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$3.30May 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$29.70May 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 8?$467.50May 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?$630.00May 7, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?$30.75May 7, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?$165.00May 7, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?$1.0KMay 7, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?$79.20May 5, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $117.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.