Naughty-Squirrel
0xb5edf2d4af92f135a9d5c52d144b186bfe4194b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-1.32
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$4.73
$0.01
- NO
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$527.88Oct 23, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$533.13Oct 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$268.33Oct 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$263.47Oct 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$265.00Oct 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$268.32Oct 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$537.20Oct 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$536.45Oct 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$538.00Oct 23, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 16-17m?$1.00Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.01Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.01Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liberal win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?$1.02Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?$1.03Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill PAP win between 75 and 77 seats in the Singapore election?$1.04Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Nova Scotia in the next Canadian Election?$1.05Oct 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PAP win between 75 and 77 seats in the Singapore election?$1.00Apr 25, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 16-17m?$1.00Apr 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 25, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liberal win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?$1.00Apr 25, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $121.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.