Lawful-Devil
0xb5f3175454bc4556a4ee3e0b6f8d91ab4c60e010
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.51
Realised
$37.94
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
16 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
15 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
13 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
12 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.52Jun 23, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.96Jun 23, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.96Jun 23, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.96Jun 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.94Jun 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.96Jun 23, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.