Taut-Will
0xb5f5dea19d5544e98cc11b4ccea42b41f062f591
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$81.94
Total PnL
$-11.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$81.94
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 24?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11?
90 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
60 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$81.90May 26, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$81.88May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$81.80May 22, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$81.58May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$81.50May 14, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.78May 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.70May 12, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$81.68May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$81.61May 9, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$2.31May 9, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$83.88May 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$83.80May 1, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?$83.88May 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?$83.80Apr 27, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$83.80Apr 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$83.72Apr 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1.48Apr 22, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$85.20Apr 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$85.12Apr 17, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$85.12Apr 17, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $72.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 09:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".