Tense-Fence
0xb5fab911e4249fad5e4472789259aa5fa4a7fd93
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$28.16
Total PnL
$-1.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?
8 shares @ 25.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$5.21
$3.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?
28 shares @ 14.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$3.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 16?
51 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.84
$0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.52
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 17?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.41
$1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 16?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$1.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 17?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?$2.00Jul 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$0.93Jul 16, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$1.07Jul 16, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$1.39Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$0.30Jul 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$0.08Jul 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$0.23Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?$0.30Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 16?$0.17Jul 16, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?$2.09Jul 16, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 16?$0.17Jul 16, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.